I have been playing recently at the Bike who has a 2/3 blind game with a 100-300 buy in. The only place in LA where you can buy in for 100bbs with small blinds. virtually every time I have played there I eek out a few hundred here and there and the occasional 400 win. Saturday I played at the Hustler because I had gone to a xmas party with friends and didnt want to drive the 35 min to the bike. Hustler is less than 15 min from my house.
I normally dont play there because there smaller blind game is a 2-5 100-300 game. The extra play with the bike i thought was better... I am wondering now. I have been in situations at least 4 times in the last two sessions where my opponent is pot committed by my bet (and I am betting for value) and they shove and I have to call.
spot 1 I raise pre with AQ two callers.. effective stacks are 400... 60 in pot. flop comes A9T with two clubs.. I bet 50.. both call. turn A dia.. I bet 150 and now player next to act shoves for like 170 more.. I think for a second and I dont think he is bluffing but I dont think he has A9, At or set because flop was so wet. probabaly AJ or weaker ace.. I call and he had AJ.. I win a big pot..
in the deeper game this would be alot hard to call since the reraise all in could be a pot size raise rather than half pot or even smaller.. Since then three other times I am getting shoved on and havent had less than 3:1 odds to call. Each time I have a value hand.. two times I had the best hand and twice I was behind and sucked out.
got me thinking... I normally fold when that much heat is on me in the deeper game... in the shorter game I almost always have to call and therefore I get some positive variance to outdraw villain..
How much of this type of positive variance do you need to be a winning player?
I don't like getting it in badly but to get good variance you need to..