I took notes last night of some hands I played in a 2-5 100-300 buy in game at a local casino in LA. Most of the players call way too many raises pre with hands that don't have the correct implied odds. I got into a situation that I think is really close.. but my normal philosophy is if there is a close decision then I usually give the tie to a call since that will give me a more "action" appearance..
I overlimp in late middle position with 44 and a girl in the co raises to 15 of her 45 stack. I proceed to see 4 callers and then its on me. Do I call the ten? Do I fold. she only has 30 dollars left and normally in this spot you wan't to flop a set against her tight range with more than say 12x the raise to make it profitable. My initial thoughts were she probably didn't have a premium hand because with such a short stack why wouldn't she just go all in with 3 limpers in the pot already. Also almost no one was three bet isolating and since everyone called no one else is that strong either.. So no AA no KK and probably middle pair or even some kind of SC she wanted to build a pot with she could play in position.
So I actually have a pretty good seat. If everyone checks to her I am last to act and can see what happens and then act accordingly. I thought that since it was only 10 dollars to win at least 70 and with a potential albeit not necessarily from her I could get that magic 12x pot. Would you have called, raised or folded?
Let's get some reaction and then I will tell you what happened.. I think this type of situation really only applies to the smaller buy in lower limit games. I am certain that if this was a bigger game even say a 5/5 game .. one of the other players would have isolated her little raise to get it heads up. You have to keep in mind that most of these players don't like to commit a lot of chips preflop and therefore do not isloate.