I've been playing full time (40 hrs a week or so) since mid November. I've been playing about 90% 2/5 with a little 5/10 mixed in. Up until March, I never had a losing week. Some weeks were very marginal, but none were in the red. The second week of March was my first official losing week. Since then, I can now announce that March is my first losing month. In 173 hours I managed to lose $1918.
I realize that downswings and long periods of break even are inevitable in poker, but I'm beginning to wonder if maybe Nov-Feb was more of a heater than anything else and that the reality of my true winrate is setting in. I spoke to a couple of pros at one casino I frequent. They had similar answers in that when playing online and higher stakes, downswing/break even periods like this are to be expected, and can often be much worse. However, most 2/5 live games are soft enough that a losing month should be very rare, possibly non-existent.
Obviously no one here can answer whether or not I am just experiencing the downside of variance based on only playing 4.5 months and not knowing how I play. I was, however, hoping to get some feedback from others who play 100 hrs a month or so. Has anyone experience this type of downswing/break even period over 4-5 weeks and still managed to come out 8-10 bb/hr at year's end?