I usually don’t slowplay but when I flop top set on a dry board, I beleive it’s one of the few occasions where I should slowplay because blocking most of the opponent’s top pair combos, I think it’s very hard to get a call from weaker hands on a dry board. However, I got screwed recently twice by slowplaying my top set on the flop. I just want to hear opinions on this. Is my thought process wrong or should I just take it as a variance. Here are two hands I played recently:
I raise to $15 in 1/3nl pre w/ QQ and the BT calls me.
Flop: Q73 with one heart.
I block most QXs. Since villain didn’t 3bet me pre, it is very unlikely he has KK/AA. So if I bet here, I think he is going to just fold.
So I check, villain checks.
Turn: Q73T with two hearts
I bet $20. Villain calls.
River: Q73T2 with three hearts
I checked. He bets $60. I call and he shows A5hh.
1/3NL. MP opens to $15. I make it $45 w/ KK from the BT. MP calls.
I check back, giving him a free card so he will pick up some sort of draw (or hopefully a set) on turn.
I bet smallish, $50, so I could get a call from a weak pair or a gutter ball.
Villain goes all in for $180.
It’s a huge bet, but I make the call, hoping he has a weaker set, KQ somehow, or a bluff.
Unfortunately for me, villain tables JT.
Did I just got unlucky or am I just playing my top set poorly? Should I just fast play my top set on dry board in general?