$5/$5 NLHE Cash Game at Hawaiian Gardens in LA, 9-handed. Effective stack was about $620 and my villain has me covered.
Villain has been showing down good hands and got a big stack. He has been open raising a lot of hands in the last couple of orbits. Because he has been only showing down value hands that feels very standard (i.e. AK on Kxx board), I don't have any great reads yet in terms of his playing range.
For this hand, the UTG, UTG+1, UTG+2 folds, Villain MP1 opens for $15, HJ called, I am on the Button with 5d3d. I saw MP1 opened a lot with his big stack so I decided to 3-bet in position to $65, SB and BB folds. MP1 calls, HJ folds. Pot is heads-up with $150 in the middle.
Flop is Qs6d2s. MP1 checks, I bet $55, Villain calls.
Turn is 3h. Pot is now $265. MP1 checks, I bet $125. Villain calls.
River is 7c. Pot is $515. MP1 checks, hero should?
The turn was a key point in this hand. I don't want to give the pot over to my villain unless he has top pair Q or better. I hit like 3rd pair on the turn but I don't think I have much showdown value here. That's why I chose to bet again.
River is a brick. So the question is whether my villain will fold everything that is not top pair with Q or better. I don't think he has a set or a straight because I would have heard from him on the flop or the turn.
What should I do on this river?