2/5 game playing on the looser side. Villain is mid 20s Asian who sat down an orbit or two ago. I limp w JJ UTG, and V raises it to 20 from mp. Huge donk lady calls otb and I raise to 70. Villain shoves for 200 on top of my 70, btn folds. I tanked for a long time, chatted the guy up a bit and determined he didn't seem nervous at all. So I'm thinking he almost never does this with a hand worse than my jacks, and I'm pretty sure he has aces. I think I need 4:1 to call if he has aces and I'm only getting like 1.85:1. However, I figure if I call and I'm right about his hand, it's a small mistake, whereas if I fold incorrectly its a huge mistake. So I called, he had aces, and I turned a jack, just to make my donkish play utterly complete.
Can anyone comment on whether there is any logic here or just wishful thinking? Am I correct to try to average my equity the percentage of times I'm correct about his range with my equity the percentage of times I'm wrong, or is that just creating a double range to convince myself to make a bad call?