I had a hand come up that really bothered me tonight. I asked one of HP local Pros about the hand. Though talking about it with him I came to an interesting conclusion.
Hero: Loosing image. Got it in good twice and lost big pots.
v1. A real nit. Semi-loose preflop. Ace heavy in range. But looses a ton of value.
v2. My nemesis for the evening. Was on tilt and was gunning for me. Otherwise not very relevant to the hand.
A loose guy up front raises and several people call $20. I am on the button with Q
. I didn't consider 3b because of image and v2 would call 100%. The few times I did 3b I got a ton of callers. So I call and so does SB who is v1.
Flop comes down A
All check to me. I decided to bet but thought it was close. Only v1 really was going to slow play an Ace at this table. I wanted to get out a lot of hands that would make draws on the turn. I know this is marginal. Also I knew I had about an 80% of getting v2 to call with a very wide range of hands. I bet $60.
v1 and v2 calls.
Pot is now $280
Turn card is 3
So I wanted to get though v1 with my flop bet and didn't. I really think his range is heavy in Ax and 66. He could have any Ax here including AK. It is possible for him to have KQ and QJ here but I discounted it. He was the first to call and I didn't think he would call there with them 100% of the time. v2 has some Equity but he is wide open.
They both check to me. I really think about it for a bit but decide that v1 is willing to call most of his range here and so I check. I didn't see any way to bluff it without bombing the river.
River is the Q
v1 bets out $85. v2 folds. I thought that I would raise/fold here. And since most of his Aces would be a chop in his eyes, I wanted to make it easy for him. I raise to $215. So it was $130 for him to call with the pot being $680. He calls and shows 66 to win.
I knew he had 66 in his range there. It was also possible for AQ there too. But now I am wondering if I EVER beat his bet there. Would he bet AK or AJ out into 2 people when the Q hits? Wouldn't he be scared of the Q? Since he can't bet/fold himself, I think he might check there.
At first the thought was that I should have just called, but really? Does he ever show up there with Q9 or worst? I now am thinking that he only check/calls with his Aces. That when he bets, even this small amount I am never good. He either has a KQ, AQ or 66.
Am I being result oriented? In the end is it a call? Or just a fold?