$5/$5 ($1k cap) Eff $1.1k
Vilain in the hand is a pro. Imo one of the best in this small casino player pool. From my knowledge and conversation he has played professionally in LA and Macau. Has friends that play bigger games and has played bigger on a regular basis $10/$20 in LA in the past. The biggest game in this room is $5/5. Studies Pio Solver also. Would know more about poker than me. We don’t tango to much in big pots.
Over the last 5-6 months playing this bloke he would have an aggressive 3b approach, but against winning regs I think he tones it back a little and plays a balanced 3b range. This is the range I’m giving him 88+, AQo+, A5s, AQs+. Partials of ATs-AJs. 78s- JTs, QJs, KQs, KJs and partials of KTs, QTs. Maybe because it is heads up he has no partials and is 3b his whole range in this particular spot.m and he range may be wider. In the past he will fold to most 4b from me unless he has had a massive hand AA, KK kinda range. In this hand and configuration I decided to flat my hand in position given there where no players left and we are now heads up. I flatted because I didn’t want him to 3b and fold everything worse. His 3b pre also seemed a little large I was expecting $45-55 but I don’t know what to think about the sizing. He has a high CB if he’s the 3 better so I’m not sure why he checked. He never has a donking/leading range once he is check calling. He has check raise the river twice in the last week against others 3x-4x ($350-$500) for value with non nut hands, bottom two pair and bottom boat. I haven’t seen him bluff off his whole stack with a check, shove river. I’m not saying he isn’t capable I just haven’t seen it.
I honestly nearly checked back river in this spot as I had a feeling he was going to do this to me but I thought my hand was to strong to not bet, but I also don’t know if I’m getting called by much worse. and I was expecting a raise to the $300-$400 not the all in. Just a feeling I had and he knew I wasn’t playing too much longer, 1hr tops.
Hero AK♠ rfi utg $15 ($2.5k) and it folds to the V in the big blind and he makes it $65 to go. H flats for the reasons above. If there where players in the feild I would 4b but we are heads up and H is in position and I’m starting to include some strong hands when I flat 3b heads up. These players don’t know I’m flatting some big hands as they think I’m aggressive and fast my hands, which I do most but of the time. And when I flat I just have a weaker hand in my range. But against winning regs I’m making some changes and this is one of them.
Flop T75 :r: 1 spade
V checks, H bets $65, V calls.
At this stage I’m very confused why he checked the flop as he should bet this 90% of the time from what I’ve seen in the past. So I was thinking he is either very weak or very nutted.
Turn A♦ still rainbow
V checks and H bets $100, v calls
V checks, H bets $165, V all in $870ish
What is Hero to do???
• thoughts on flatting pre
• should I be checking back the turn as top pair changed and I still bet. Does that cap my hand to either and Ace or a set now. Probably not betting and draw I have.
• thought on an over bet to $300-$350 on the turn from Hero
• should I check back the river
• if I checked turn I am certain he over bets the pot on the river. Should I call there
I’m going to run this hand through Pio tomorrow and see what it says. If there is someone here that uses solvers and think this is an interesting hand let me know we can sim and talk about it more
Hope everyone has been playing well :)