2/5 NLHE game, ~$500 effective
Villain: New to the table, but knows the dealer and the only other competent person at the table. This is a new poker room, so given their chatter, I assumed all three likely may have been regulars at another place in the region. He was shuffling chips and confident. Otherwise, no reads. Neither of us had been involved in a hand the first ~5-10 minutes of him sitting down.
Hero raises to $20 w Q
in EMP and button is only caller.
Flop ($45): K
Hero c-bets $30 and villain calls.
Turn ($105): 6
Hero fires $70 (with intention of firing almost all rivers) and villain calls.
Question: Does anyone go for a check-raise in these spots rather than barrel? This could be an interesting discussion in itself. If it goes check-check, how often do you bluff blank rivers? Or usually just give up if we miss (I suspect this)?
River ($245): 3
Hero fires $165
Obviously firing 3-shells against a relative unknown isn't the greatest, but felt like I'd have heard from him already if he had KJ+ and combined with his perceived regulars status at another establishment (and of course my EMP opening range+shells)
Thoughts on bet sizing? I am trying to work on my river sizing in these types of spots and almost feel like this may be an area where I need to make a polarizing bet size. Perhaps not since this was a BDFD that came in, so less obvious. Open to comments though on that/all fronts.