This hand was played on the Live Stream 1/3 game at Texas Card House in Austin. I'm the player in seat 7.
I think this hand relates to a concept that Bart discussed recently on his podcast: the idea that 4 flush boards are underbluffed because it is so easy for any player to have the nuts and it is often difficult to find natural bluff candidates on these boards.
Villain in this hand is a regular at 1/3 and 5/5. He's loose passive, playing 39/9 (VPIP/PFR) on the evening. He's an aware player in that he thinks about what other players are representing.
Hero has a TAG image, playing 20/13 on the night.
Villain starts with $750, Hero has $1k.
Villain limps UTG, UTG+1 calls, Hero raises to $26 with A♥
, BB calls, Villain calls, UTG+1 calls.
Villain now leads for $50, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls, BB folds
Villain bets $125, Hero calls.
(I realize there is an argument for jamming turn, but I'm trying to keep my opponent in the hand, and I think jamming at this SPR would get him to fold out his K♥
Villain bets $225 (leaving $325 behind).
If I jam now, Villain will have to call $325 into a pot of $1230, getting roughly 4:1.
The question is whether a 1/3 reg is going to call off with K♥
x often enough for this to be a profitable jam (and realistically how many combos of K♥
x would take a strange line like this on the flop/turn?).
Here's a link to the hand (spoiler warning) @ timestamp 1:36:25. You have to click through to the YouTube html because it seems the forum doesn't allow inline video in posts.