Two out of the last 3 months I have run pretty bad in big pots where all the money goes in preflop or on the flop and a few on the turn. I am counting big as pots 1k or more at a 2/5 and not counting hands that go to the turn or river and money goes in like your locked hands where you get paid off on a set, flush etc and essentially don't have to fade any cards . I have not made any money over this time after beating the game for a pretty good amount the prior 6 months. In looking at those prior 6 I would say I was running a little better than average but not much including losing the only 4k pot as a 52% favorite . I mostly just won a little more than my equity in pots I was favored and a little less than my equity when I was not. I also did better than average in pots where some of the money got in on the flop or turn and then I hit the card I needed and the rest went in like making a boat against a flush.
July I was 1 for 10 in these pots winning one 82% favorite for 1k pot. . Here are the ones I lost that added up to a little bit over 15k. 82%, 87%,71%, 66%, 67%, 34%, ,83%,97%, and the worst one a set over set losing to quads 4 k pot 96%.
August was much better only a little behind the equity I had in these pots. I also havent played much when i have 300 bb on the table
September has been very bad again winning only 2 out of 12 of these big pots both where I was a big favorite. No pots over 2k though mostly because I'm starting over when I get up that much and none where I was over 90% favorite and included 2 coolers where I was around 35% and 2 where I was drawing in the 35-40% range and didn't get there. I have changed my style a little trying to get more aggressive versus a more conservative approach through August and I have managed to only be down just a little for the month unlike July.
How do you guys mentally handle this and still manage to play your best poker? Any tips?
Also the fact that I'm not playing when I have $1500 or more in chips in front of me I'm running bad. Thoughts?
This weekend I lost an $1800 pot on a cooler where I flopped top set against bottom set and a straight and board didn't pair. Than last night my aces lost to a flush draw for a $1500 pot. Another losing weekend since I can never overcome the big pot losses to post a win. My style is tight so there just are not enough chances to play them.
I'm just concerned that this could continue for a long time and while I easily have the bankroll to handle that I won't be able to do this full time if I have another 6 months of being even. I sort of just expect to lose now when the money goes in