Live 1/2 game $100-$300 buy in
in the BB with Q9o check the option pot is 8 handed.
flop 8TJr i lead 15 into 16 get called in 1 spot by standard old guy.
Turn Ks bringing a backdorr spade draw. I lead 50 and guy thinks for a minute before calling.
River is 2s. This is a super standard bet/fold. Just curious about how big i should be betting. The old guy in the hand is not one who is not going to see that AQ was a double gutshot on the flop so i think we can eliminate some of those hands from his range.
To me his range is T8/TJ/KJ/KQ/88 and some combos of spades with the 9 in them (79/89/9T/A9). (note: the Jack was the spade on the flop and i have the Q spades.)
I did some of the equity calcs for this hand but am having trouble agreeing with buddies on the villians calling range. Do you think this is a spot where bet sizing matters or is he simply calling of folding?