Villain ($650) 30's white guy. 2/5 reg, but I haven't played with him much. Capable of making plays - I saw him call twice with QJ on something like KT8cc7x3x board and then he bet very large on the river when checked. He got called, showed the hand and the other guy had 96 for a straight. He does seem to limp a little too much. We started 5 handed and he open limped 42s in MP which seems bad 5 handed, so I dunno.
Hero ($800) Good image so far. Flatted JJ and got a few streets from a field caller on a 9 high board. I also flopped a set in a raised pot, check raised the flop but the guy folded turn for like a half pot bet. I didn't show that one. Haven't been super preflop aggro.
Villain (MP1) limps
Hero Ah As raises to $30
Both limpers call
Flop: Jc 6h 5d
Checks to hero, hero bets $75, Button/UTG fold, villain calls
Turn: Jc 6h 5d 6c
Villain donks $125, hero?
I cbet on the smaller side because the board is dry and I'm hoping to get looked up by PP's etc.
The turn lead is weird. It looks like it could be a block bet, but what is he blocking? I don't think he's check/calling with a gutshot like 98 - he's not a station as far as I know. He can't have Jxcc. So the only way he picked up equity is if he had a hand like 87cc or 34cc (which he might not play). It's possible he could have called with 78 and now is blocking turn despite picking up no equity.
It's possible he has trip 6's but I think it's unlikely. Not a ton of combos of 6's. Some frequency he just folds flop and some frequency he bets large OTT or check/raises. If he was full or had A6 it would actually be a really good bet but I try not to give guys too much credit.
The other possibility is he's kinda block betting a Jack which would be an odd play. The guy isn't a station and I imagine he raises AJ first in a decent amount. Possibly KJs and QJs also although you never know. So it's tough for him to have a big jack and he can't have Jxcc.
Thoughts? Are you guys raise/folding this turn? Calling and calling a reasonable turn bet?
If I were to call and river bricks and he checks, what kind of bet sizing are you looking at? I think his range is probably KJ or MAYBE AJ max but I might be able to get like $175-$200 in value in a $525 pot.