Villain ($800) 40's white guy. Should be a rec player. Not terribly aggro preflop - hasn't raised a ton. I imagine he'd 4b KK/AA. Not a huge station or anything. Probably mostly playing off his own hand strength but probably aware enough to know that I could have a hand like AA/KK here.
Hero ($1000) Good image. I stacked a guy for $500 - got check/raised after betting a gutshot straight flush draw and hit the straight flush on the turn. Bleeding off a little money since then. I haven't 3b this session yet.
Folds to villain in CO
Villain raises to $15
Hero (BB) JJ raises to $40
Villain thought for a little while before calling. Not sure if he was thinking of raising or folding.
Flop: 8c 7s 3d
Hero bets $45, villain calls
Turn: 8c 7s 3d Jh
Hero bets $80, villain calls
River: 8c 7s 3d Jh 3s
Hero bets $X?
Villain took a while to call flop. Kinda played with calling chips for a while. Didn't seem like he was thinking of raising.
I know the sizing is small. Guys are sometimes sensitive to bet sizing and I'm looking to get called by low pairs, maybe A high pieces off once.
I didn't want to bomb turn because I think his range caps out at 99/TT and possibly even weaker. I think QQ snaps flop if he's not raising, and even a hand like TT probably calls quickly. If I bet too big he might get scared of a big river bet and fold. Me having trips is kinda irrelevant.
OTR I basically have the nuts, but his range is probably not super strong. I don't want to bomb $300 or something but there's no more bets so maybe if he does have 99/TT he calls a medium bet thinking I busted AK or something.
I'm thinking I can either go really small - like $130, or I could go more medium like $200. It's not like I have trip 3's and it might look weird to bet less when you'd think I'd want to protect and then bet more OTR.
What kind of sizing do you like? Do you think my sizing is too small throughout?