Welcome.

Take a tour. Enjoy some free sample content.

How it works

Free Video: CLP Video No. 287: Home Game Bart Reviews His Splashy At $1-$3 Deep Part 2

Free Podcast: CLP Podcast No. 54: Time Warp And Turn Value
New to Crush Live Poker?

9Ts - Interesting Flop Situation

YoungGrinder Posts: 210Subscriber
edited March 2014 in NLHE Strategy Discussion
Played a short session today and got into this hand which I found very interesting after going back and running some equities.

V1: REC 60 year old man. Appears to be playing fairly basic fit/fold ABC Tight Poker. I've seen him donk out big with pretty huge hands as well as some lesser hands. He appears "merged in his donk range". (Covers)

V2: Aussie 30 year old REC player. Plays pretty loose from what I've seen so far. Tends to be pretty aggressive as well including making some merged river value bets that I was rather surprised by. Tends to only open to 15 no matter the situation. His raises tend to be QJ+, TT+ type hands. (Covers)

Hero: Tight Aggressive Player. Losing Image. All but one time I've raised, I've either been 3-bet by an older man and shown a huge hand or whiffed the flop/gotten a bad c-bet board/too many people in the hand to c-bet. ($500)

Hand:

V1 limps from +1. V2 raises to 15 in the HJ. Hero calls in the CO with T 9 .
3-ways to the flop.

Flop: 7 8 9 ($45)

V1 donks for $40. V2 fairly quickly min-raises to $80. Hero ???

In the actual hand, I decided to fold because I never imagined V2 would raise/fold as a REC Aussie Gambler nor did I know if V1 had flopped a monster or 2-pair+. I think that's a bit too MUBs though.
After looking at some equities, while I don't think there's a problem with folding, I think that raising may be more optimal.

9Ts vs TT+ for V2 is 42/58
9Ts vs QQ+ for V2 is 48/52
9Ts vs TT+/JTs for V2 is 39/61

Anyone think raising to $220 and jamming most turns for $265 is going to be a more optimal line?
If I had TT in this hand, due to blockers and equity, I would most certainly lay down the hammer.
Tagged:

Comments

  • marseille Posts: 400Subscriber
    I like your fold. I think raising is pretty spewy against a pot-size donk and minraise. Why are you not calculating equities against two players? Do you have some read that V1 is weak? Also, seems like a really nitty range to assign Aussie given description.
  • floppedawheel Posts: 1,063Subscriber
    i just stoved it, too. don't know if you agree with these ranges, but they seem reasonable to me.

    villain 1: 77-99/A9suited/98suited/87suited
    villain 2: 88-AA/JTsuited

    villain 1: 30.4%
    villain 2: 32.8%
    you: 31%

    i think we have to remember that a donk-bet from villain 1 with this board is probably pretty strong. even tweaking the ranges a little, i think you have very, very, very little fold equity against most of both of their ranges, and if you bombed you'd basically just be committing to the hand as a 30% dog. i guess if you ended up getting it in vs. BOTH, you'd almost be getting the right price, but the numbers still wouldn't quite be in your favor.

Sign In or Register to comment.