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recent history/tilt factor

Chicago Iron Posts: 68Subscriber
edited November -1 in NLHE Strategy Discussion
i recently played a 5/5NL cash game at my local casino. i had a laggy image and i could tell that the other players where getting fed up with me. i was winning a lot of pots without showdown, playing fast and aggressive. i could tell the other players where sizing me up, and generally confused by my actions. i was running pretty well. most of the players are your typical bingo type players that just want to see a flop and make a big hand and don't know how to play a non-nut type hand so obviously i am putting a big dent in their gameplan.

there was a hand where a player limp/3bet from early postion, got 2 callers, and folded the best hand (AA obv) on a K83r flop (lol) to an overplayed AK. he immediately started playing more hands and i knew he was tilted.

so i get KK in ep, make my standard open and get a couple callers, 1 of whom is the tilted player who is on the button. the flop is 892cc and i make a cbet of 90 into a 120pot, and the button tilter, makes it 200.

so here is my question. how wide of a range can i give this guy based on his recent bad laydown and my laggy image. this hand was only 9 or 10 hands after he made that bad lay down and i had been laggy for a good 2 hours up to that point. obviously he shows up with sets and 89 some of the time but how often can i expect to see TT, JJ, QQ, 67, JT, or combo draws like AQcc? villian is sitting 100bb's deep and i have him covered (250bb's).

Comments

  • whatsyourplay? Posts: 752Member
    I would guess that villain will also show up with A9 type hands. Even though it is a bad play, I see him raising such hands. On the other hand, some villains would not raise combo draws in this spot, but rather call down until they hit. So, I would include a few more medium strong made hands and maybe less draws. All in all, your equity is going to increase only slightly. But given the SPR, it's going to be difficult to get away from this hand.
  • JerseyJay Posts: 181Subscriber
    Your getting 2-1 and once that money goes in the villain has like a half pot size bet left. Im shoving heremand if he has a set then oh well. Folding is way too nitty. Also, if you have a laggy imagemhes more likely to defend a top pair or overpair type of hand. If he had a set id expect him to slowplay a lag, or at least he should.
  • whatsyourplay? Posts: 752Member
    Jersey Jay said

    Your getting 2-1 and once that money goes in the villain has like a half pot size bet left. Im shoving heremand if he has a set then oh well. Folding is way too nitty. Also, if you have a laggy imagemhes more likely to defend a top pair or overpair type of hand. If he had a set id expect him to slowplay a lag, or at least he should.
    Hardly anybody is slowplaying a set on a 982cc board. A tilting player who is facing a bet from an EP raiser is doing this like never in a million years.

    BTW: Not sure if he really should. Curious about your reasoning for that.
  • Arenzano Posts: 1,464Subscriber
    I would think that his range discounts overpairs to the board. Given your description of your play and the villain's tilt, I think he 3 bets AA, KK, QQ,JJ, and maybe TT. I thnk he's drawing quite often or like another poster said has A9 A8 type hands. I also believe he is more apt to slowplay a set here thinking that he will allow you to hang yourself, especially if he actually folded AA in the prior described hand... Regardless, I think you get all the money in here and if he does turn up with a set or 2pr, so be it.
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