hero, big stack, image doesn't matter - villain is new
villain, 20s , "looks competent" , no reads
HJ limps, villain limps CO, BU limps, SB completes, hero checks 22 in BB.
flop (23) QcJh2h, SB nit leads 15, hero raises to 55, fold, CO calls, fold, fold.
turn (146) 8d, hero bets 105, villain calls.
river (354) 3d, hero?
I expect SB to lead a Q here very often which makes it less likely villain has a made hand. Qhxh makes a lot of sense, combodraws and QJ as well. I think a straight is quite unlikely given that he calls a raise on the flop on an FD board and also I would expect him to raise the turn. Im pretty much only beat by Th9h.
Do you expect guys to always bet QJ here when I check?
Is it better to go for a c/r therefore to give him the chance to bluff a busted draw?
I have a pretty clear opinion on the hand but my friend was not convinced. what do you think?