villain, old nitty guy, bought in short, worked his stack up to 300bb
hero, winning image, covers, 20s
HJ limps, hero raises to 25 with AxJc, villain BU calls, HJ calls,
flop (78) AcTcTd, HJ checks, hero decides to check, villain quickly bets 65, HJ folds, hero calls
turn (208) Jd, hero leads 125, villain instantly prepares his chips and then calls after about 10-15 seconds
river (458) 8s, hero bets 125, villain snapraises to 250. hero?
Thoughts: on the flop it's probably better simply to bet/fold. With the Jc I decided to checkcall because bad cards will give me a redraw - probably not reason enough if these guys never bluff....whatever. when this guy bets 65 I am pretty sure he has something, most likely A or T and sometimes a flushdraw. on the turn I see him checking back Ax a lot and a flushdraw sometimes so I decided to lead to protect and get value from Ax and FDs. Looks strange but doesn't really matter against this guy. By his timing I am not sure if I can exclude Ax little, probably he would think a bit longer with a weak Ace and sometimes even fold it. AK,AQ makes a lot of sense and trips as well. on the river I am not sure if I can valuebet but AK and AQ will look me up very often for that size (maybe even any Ax). when he snapraises I am almost never good but after some consideration I thought about shipping it. I don't think he will play a boat that way very often but possible. Could be really bad if he never raises trips.
It's about 1000 more for him to call. Can old coffee guy fold trips or KQ here against a huge raise?