Game is $1/$2 blind, $2-$100 spread limit hold'em (AZ state law bans 'no-limit' betting) at a local casino. The game is playing typically passive, and fairly loose.
I start the hand with about $250. Three players limp, I complete the SB with [Qh][9d], BB checks. Five-ways to flop of [Jd][5s][3d]. I check and it checks through. Turn [Jd][5s][3d] [9s]. I bet $8, two players called. River [Jd][5s][3d] [9s] [Js]. I check, the next player checks, and the last player bets $25.
I didn't give him credit for trips, as I thought he would most likely bet the flop with a jack. His range looks like busted diamonds or a back-door flush. I folded. Didn't know much about the villain. He had about $400 and I hadn't seen him do anything silly. How often do you look someone up here who you don't have much info on?
Playing 7 handed. $130 effective stacks vs SB, $300 vs BB. I open TT to $8 from the HJ. Both blinds call. Pot is about $20 after the rake. Flop is [Ad][Jh][3c]. Both blinds check, I check. Turn is [Ad][Jh][3c] [4s]. Both blinds check, I check. River is [Ad][Jh][3c] [4s] [6c]. SB checks, BB bets $15, I ?
This is the same villain from the first hand. He had made a comment about me being a tight player. I think he is likely to have checked top-pair-marginal-kicker twice on this board, thinking that I would check back the flop with an ace, but I would not check back top pair again on the turn. Once I check back the turn he assumes no one else has top pair and he bets the river for value. He didn't seem aggro enough to bet a jack for value but it's possible. I'm not sure what he could be turning into a bluff here. Seems like with a pocket pair or KQ he would assume his hand is probably good and just want to get to showdown. I folded.
Thanks for your help!