Villain is super loose pre-flop and tries a little too hard to win more than his fair share of pots post-flop, but not an idiot when it comes to timing or hand reading
Probably a 45/30 pre and an aggro factor of 5 post-flop
5/5 at Sands ~1600 effective
Folded to hero in UTG + 1
Raises to 20 with KhKd
Solid tight player calls 20 from CO
Villain calls from BB
$65 pot to flop
Ks Qd 8h
Hero bets 45
$155 to turn
Hero bets $100
Villain raises to $500
I was already slightly unhappy with this turn action. This player is not an idiot, so he has to know that I'm a TAG-ish player, which means I'm likely to have a strong hand on this board. Villain is aggressive and bluffs a lot, but his normal sizing is much smaller. This sizing looks like it's a nutted hand setting up a river shove.
Thoughts on this turn: "#@&# the poker Gods for finally giving me top set and then putting his straight out there on this turn"
I call the $400 knowing I'm likely to get his stack if I fill up.
I knew he was going to do this on any river after the turn bet sizing. It doesn't help that it's an ugly river.
What do we do on this river?
What about a river that completes a flush?
Or a river that's a complete blank?