Game is $1/$2 blind, $2-$100 spread limit hold'em (AZ state law bans 'no-limit' betting) at a local casino. The game is playing typically passive, and fairly loose.
I start the hand with $125. UTG, a younger guy who seems like a reg with $200 stack, raises to $4. Two LP players call. I'm in the BB with [Ah][Kh] and 3-bet to $30. UTG calls. Heads up. Pot is about $63 after the rake. Flop [As][Tc][9d]. I check, UTG bets $40, I check-raise all-in for $95 total, UTG folds.
Bart has talked about checking over-pairs and similar hands in spots like this with low SPRs, because even if you miss a street of value you can still get all the money in by the river. Could check-calling the flop and check-calling the turn be the best play? Given that we are likely way ahead/way behind and just calling gives him an opportunity to keep bluffing or overplaying on the turn? Or, given how big the pot will be (relative to the effective stack size) once we call the flop bet, should we check-raise all in to protect our equity?
$200 effective stacks. Player in EP limps, I am on the BTN with [Ad][Kd] and raise to $11, reg (villain from hand #1) calls from SB, the limper called. The pot is about $28 after the rake. Flop [Js][5d][3c]. SB checks, limper checks, I bet $20, they both called. Turn [Js][5d][3c] [8d]. SB and limper check, I check. River [Js][5d][3c] [8d] [6d]. SB checks, the limper bets $25, I raise to $65, the SB tank-folds, the limper calls.
To observant opponents, if we double barrel this turn our hand looks strong, and we could probably get such a player off of a weak jack. I wasn't sure how much hand reading these guys were trying to do so I checked it back. With two over-cards and the flush draw, and little chance of being check-raised, it seems like a pretty good spot to double-barrel, but should we double barrel if we don't expect to get someone off of a jack?
Your thoughts on the river sizing? I was thinking the river bettor usually has TP and I wanted to make it seem like my raise could be a bluff.
We start the hand with about $300. Four players limp, I complete the SB with [Td][6d], BB checks. Six ways to flop of [Qd][8s][Jd]. I check, the BB, who has about $350 and has played few hands and no big pots, bets $10, three players call, I call. Turn [Qd][8s][Jd] [8c]. I check, BB checks, LP player bets $40, the BTN calls $40, I fold.
Any better way to play this hand?
Thanks for your help!!!