We are playing 10/20NL. The game has been running for 30+hours, centered around several spots that have kept the game running the entire time.
Villain in this hand is new to the table from a broken must move game. I get "pro" tendencies from him. . . youngish, comfortable, large buy-in, aggressive, seems familiar with others at the table, but I have nothing really solid so far.
He probably sees me as 40yo business guy with the usual TAG stereotype, but it's hard to tell as most of the regs at this casino have "outed" me at this point.
Villain has $6k. I cover.
A legendary Spot opens $80 UTG.
I call MP K9cc
Villain calls on button.
Flop ($340): 642ccc. I flopped the king-high flush.
Turn ($340): 642ccc 8h
Spot bets $250
Villain raises to $1000 in rhythm
Spot grunch folds
I tank for 30 seconds.
I raise to $3000.
Villain announces "all in" in rhythm.
It's $2920 more for me to call.
Obviously, I only lose to 35cc and AXcc.
Question: What % of the time am I good here?