Commerce 4am $5-10NL
Villain in the hand is a very nitty Asian man late 40s. Hero has above average image and sits with $3500. Villain starts with $1100.
Hero raises to $35 UTG with A♥ K♥. Villain calls UTG+1. Button calls with $1500 stack.
FLOP: A♣ 4♦ 3♥
Hero bets $65. UTG1 insta raises to $165, button folds Hero calls.
Hero checks, UTG1 bets $235.
If you decide to call turn what is your plan for the river?
I think that this hand is a great example of conditional probability and weighted combinatorics when evaluating structured hand analysis. It also shows that sometimes a situation actually may be easier to play when deeper.