I've been working with the title concept for about a week now and I haven't reached a conclusive decision and I haven't yet found info covering this particular spot on the site; closest has been Bart talking about "'if I call the turn and the river bricks out, don't I have to call the river also' and he says 'no'".
I lean towards value over shoving. Let me know your thoughts.
I've had a couple live spots where I didn't know if I should move my opponent in (lower likelihood of getting called by worse) or get another streets worth of value (higher likelihood of getting called by worse), and then what my follow-up action is to a check/shove.
Spot: 1/2 NLHE, Cash. Villain starts hand with ~$220. I start w/ ~$600.
I flopped 2pair HULTA, A5, after raising PF and isolating the big blind; the flop was A-5-3 (2tone) with $20 in the pot.
Opponent checks and I bet $10, and BB villain check-calls.
The Turn is an offsuit 8, he check calls my $25 dollar bet.
The River is an offsuit 3, he checks, holding ~$200 behind.
I tank and check-back.
Why the River check-back? I was thinking about betting pot-size, but then because of his stack size, I didn't want to have to commit to bet-calling a check/shove by villain (once gain...because of his stack size), because theoretically he should only be running this river check/shove line with a hand that beats me, right?, and if I move him in, aren't I folding out all hands that I have beat?
I know Bart and Chan, etc., continually stroking the bet/fold, but I don't believe I should be bet/folding this spot because of the stack-dynamics, but I'm wondering, in spite of the money I already have invested (forget about SPR) can I legitimately bet/fold here?? I'm brought back to what Bart says about calling the Turn, but NOT having to call the River, i.e. "I don't have to bet/call this river".
*I've also considered the line of making a small value bet in this spot, ~$50, but because that River bet would be 25% of his remaining stack and by then >30% of his total stack, shouldn't I just be moving him in?
It's like this weird mental see-saw I'm on with the pros vs. cons of each River action whilst each river action having it's own caveat.