I'm gonna try to skip villain and hero descriptions in this hand as its fairly irrelevant. This may be more of a math question than a poker question.
Limped pot preflop. 6 ways.
Hero BTN holds KQJ8ss on a AT7 :r: flop.
First 4 players check to CO who bets 20.
His range is still quite wide and fairly weak a majority of the time.
Hero raises to 75 with tons of equity.
Folds to MP who x/raises to 275. CO folds.
If I believe MP pretty much always has a set here, what is the optimal line depending on stack depth? In this particular instance, effective stacks were 550 to start the hand.
I believe he will call off a large majority of the time if I just call and hit the turn. I can also get away from the pot if the board pairs as well. If I jam now, I'm getting the money in bad, but I have very close to the amount of equity in the pot that I need for the jam to be +EV.
Should the villain's tendency to tilt if he's sucked out on be a factor in the decision as he is 1500 deep?