$1/2 PLO/PLO8 round by round. This is a weekly casino game that runs every Thursday and I probably have 500 hours played with villain. I'd classify him as spewy/bluffy and he'd classify me as nitty. He's not afraid to rep a scare card - say a flush card comes when it's obvious his opponent has a straight/set. So he wins a lot through fold equity and he'd also bet his entire range of flushes there so sometimes you hero him with the straight and he wins with a 5-high flush. Villain ran very well at the start of the session but left for a few hours and has been running poorly since.
Hero has Q♦ J♦ T♥ 8♦ on the button. Few limps including villain, I make it $15, villain (EP) and 2 others call.
Flop ($65): 3♦ 2♥ 7♥
Action checks around. Villian is spewy/bluffy so I believe he doesn't have anything.
Turn ($65): 3♦ 2♥ 7♥ 9♦
Action checks to me again. This time I bet out $60. Villain calls.
River ($185): 3♦ 2♥ 7♥ 9♦ 3♥
Villain grabs a stack of $100 and plops it out there. There's pretty much zero chance he was checking a flush draw over 2 streets. He wouldn't check 2 pair on the turn when the flop was checked around. He could certainly have something like 567T that he's turning into a bluff but which is actually the best hand. Maybe has a 3 some of the time.
My guess is a raise will fold out all 3's, some flushes (only because he's running poorly and doesn't want to get stacked once again), no full houses. But I can't really put many of those into villains range based on how he played.
I announce $210. Am I throwing $210 away?