1/2, 100BB cap, full-ring game in casino. Both Villain and I are $500 effective. Villain is a middle-aged guy who tends to play weak-tight and uses awkward bet sizing. He has gotten very lucky in a few big pots against generally weak opponents. I had recently lost a hand to him with a smaller flush to his larger flush. Otherwise, my image is strong and winning.
There are 3 limps, including the Villain in HJ, and I raise to $12 from the CO with Q♠ J♣
Everyone folds to Villain who calls. (Pot: $27 after $4 rake)
Flop: Q♥ 10♠ 6♣
Villain checks, I bet $20, Villain calls. (Pot: $66 after $1 rake)
Villain leads for $50. I call. (Pot: $166)
Villain bets $75. Hero???
I'm thinking I'm behind his range here that he'd lead the turn with: J9, 97, 10 8, slowplayed Q10, Q8, slowplayed KQ+ that he's now afraid will get drawn out, or a draw 75.
I'm only ahead of only a worse Q (unlikely holdings), a pp with a draw on the turn: JJ (unlikely given he didn't pf raise), 99, 77, or air.
Any reason to not fold this? Thoughts on my turn play are appreciated as well.