First I must explain to you all what I call "Negreanuing". Growing up during the Money maker boom. I wasn't able to partake in poker for a few years until after the 2003 extravaganza as I was only 16 at the time of the poker "boom" While I watched Poker for years afterwords. I grew to love Daniel Negreanu... but something that baffled me was to watch him call out what an opponent had on a river, and make a call anyway.
Now fast forward I am 28 and have been playing poker recreationally for 7 years... legally... I mean I played poker with friends in highschool, but it wasn't big games. like.. penny poker...
I have found that much like my favorite player to watch growing up, I would call on rivers I was pretty certain I was beat on.
I have been trying to find a way to stop this leak, and I think I have found a way to convince myself in those situations not to call.
What has worked for me is taking that I want to call ( I WANT TO SEE THAT I AM CORRECT) moment and looking at it mathematically. Let's say you aren't 100% sure you are beat but you are 90% sure you are beat. Now to make this an easy math problem let's say you have to call 100 dollars on the river when you are 90% sure you are beat.
you will theoretically make 10 dollars and lose 90 dollars in this hand for a net of negative 80 dollars.
Now if you do that 100 times you have cost yourself
It is costing me over 100 hands in this situation 8k for me to KNOW what I already KNEW... That blew my mind and really kicked me in the pants.
At the 1-2 level 8k can be the difference between having a loosing year to a winning year. It can be the difference from staying at 1-2 an extra 1-3 years to moving up to 2-5 faster etc.
Basically what I am saying is you need to find a way to motivate you to TRUST your READS... ESPECIALLY when your READS ARE CORRECT WAY MORE THAN THEY ARE wrong.
It is hard, we as humans, I think are inclined to want to see and to KNOW for sure... but you have to find a way to make folding less "painful" Less "alluring" Then you will take out a BIG BIG leak out of your play.
For me the MATH has helped me to curve my curiosity. I am sure there are other ways people look at this. I just wanted to write this post to help others who might be in this situation.