Last night around 11pm at a 1-2 club game in NYC. This is one of the more interesting hands I've been involved in and I haven't been able to figure out if I made the right decision on the river.
Apologies for any errors as I'm posting from mobile.
V is late 20s white guy, playing very tight. Not seeing a lot of flops. When I sat down 3 hours ago he was about $800 deep but has lost a few big pots. He won one and is back up to around 400. I think he has been overvaluing his top pair type hands. Might be a little tilted.
Hero mid 20s guy with a winning, aggressive image. V may be ranging me on a lot of air as I have been barreling quite a lot. Got called by ace high earlier when I missed my flush with Q3dd which I opened from LP, flopped Jd8d3s and fired three barrels, my pair of 3s was good. About $440.
UTG straddles 5
3 callers incl V from UTG+1
Hero in HJ with Ac4x makes a very loose call. Reasoning was CO and BTN looked like they were folding and I think I can take down this pot a healthy amount of the time post flop against these players.
Blinds fold straddler x
Flop ($28) JcJs4c
X to hero who bets $25
I think I take it down here a lot of the time, and a second barrel on the turn will fold out a lot of mid pp's and possibly hands like J9 and JT.
V calls everyone else folds
Hero bets $50, thinking a J would have x/r on the flop
What is he x/c with here that he would have limped in pre with? Possible that he limped QQ+, or he has JTs or a medium op and is putting me on air?
River ($178) is a very interesting card
Puts a 4 flush on the board and I have the nut flush
V X again
Hero bets $75 to get called by something like TT with the Tc or JTo/JQo with the Tc or Qc
V doesn't think long and ships it for $300 total. Hero covers by about $40.
I play in this 1-2 game pretty frequently and don't know if I've ever seen a CRAI on the river in this kind of situation so I didn't know what to make of it. If he nutted up wouldn't he bet the river to get called by a club since most small clubs or turned flushes are checking back?
What range should we put V on here? Is he polarized to nuts (KJ, KK, 88) or air? Does he ever have a hand like AJo? Can I profitably call getting about 2:1?
Interested in feedback on all streets.