I know Bart's not a fan of block betting but I ran across a hand tonight and starting thinking about the hand on the way home and wonder if this is a good case for block betting or naming your own price. WHat do you think?
Its a limped pot w 5 people in. I'm in the BB with 83o. Flop comes J83 with 2 spades. I bet and everyone but the cutoff calls. Turn is a blank like a 2. I bet, villian thinks than calls. River is another J. I chk and villian bets 2/3 pot. I fold and he shows me a busted flush draw.
I started thinking well should I bet my hand on the river. Well no because if he had a J he would certainly call and a busted flush draw will fold (only better will call). Well what if I had a jack. Would I bet the river? Probably not because he'll bet a jack himself but would fold anything worse. He's not calling I believe with a pocket pr of 10s 9s etc 3 streets plus he would raise preflop in his position most likely. AGain only better will call and him having a j as well is unlikely.
So I would chk call with a J but with my hand (83) chking the river puts me in a tough spot barring any reads to an unknown who could easily have trips here or to someone who bets thin enough a better hand (unlikely) or of course a busted flush draw. This is a tough spot. It almost seems like I should name my price - say 1/2 pot size bet where I know only better is raising and I can safely fold.