Played a long session at Parx last night (1/2). At this point in the night, I have a good image: big stack, winning a lot of pots by showing down strong hands. Should be seen by the rest of the table as as thinking player and thin value bettor (got two streets from JJ when I held QQ on an A high board, and the guy who I won the pot from commented about how he didn't think I would ever bet queens in that spot). Hero has ~500BB stack at the time of both of these hands
First (~200BB effective with Villian):
Hero is on the Button with 6h3h. limps around to Hero and Hero overlimps (debatable, I know). Main villian in the hand is fairly unknown. Seems fairly competent, but hasn't played many hands, and generally (not really relevant I guess), seems kind of "off". Villian is in BB.
Flop ($14): 9h4h7c. Villian leads out for $10. Folds to Hero who raises to $30. Villian smooth calls. This is a limped pot and Villian is in the BB, so he could have any two here. I would generally weight his range to 9x. I wanted to start building a pot with my flush draw and gutterball.
Turn ($74): 9s. Villian leads for $65. The fact that he is leading out after my raise on the flop suggests he has a strong hand here, and 9x is much more squarely in his range. Again, any two from the BB, so 97 and 94 are in his range. Hero thinks for a bit and calls. I figured I would call and evaluate what Villian does on the river.
River ($204): 2h. I make my flush, so I am feeling pretty good about things, until....Villian ships for ~$250. Now, If villian is at all competant, he should know that is a good card for me. Hero???
Hero is on the Button with Js9s. Limps to CO with raises to $6 (pot sweetener type of bet - this is the same villian from above who called down with JJ). I call, and BB "three bets" to $12. I put that in quotes as $12 was standard open size for most of the table and this Villian in particular. UTG calls $12, CO calls, I call. Effective stacks - CO 300BB, BB 100BB, UTG 150BB, I cover all.
Flop ($50): 7c9d10s. Checked to CO who bets $20. I call, others call. I feel with back door spades, pair + gutshot, and with the small sizing, I'm definitely getting the right price. Question - would anyone have raised here?
Turn ($130): 9c. Checked to CO who bets $65. At this point I put the BB and UTG on draws (that I would like to keep in the hand), or pocket pairs. UTG is more weighted to pocket pair given the pre-flop action, and UTG is more weighted to a draw. UTG should be doing this with a top pair type of hand (A10s/K10s/Q10s). I call, BB calls (leaving himself ~$100), and now UTG ships it. CO disgustedly folds, and action is on Hero. Pot is $390 after all of the $65 bets are pulled in, and the all-in is for $165 more. I can see out of the corner of my eye that BB is ready to ship in his last $100 essentially no matter what, so in reality its going to be $165 to win $655.
UTG seems like a decent player, but is new to the table, so no super strong reads. We are getting 4/1, so only need 20% equity. If my nine isn't good, I figure I have 7 outs (4 8s, 3 Js), which right there is 15%. This is a call all day if he has more than just Q9+ in his range (i.e. big clubs), correct? This seems like a great spot to jam given the action to that point with a big draw, and I would think that a boat just calls the $65 knowing that he can get it in on the river. Hero??
Thanks for the feedback