Would love if Bart could bring his outstanding handreading skills to bear on this hand.
50./$1 home game, 9 player table.
I open UTG to $3 with 99 and get three callers.
Flop 9 6 3 rainbow.
I bet $9 and get one caller. Villain is ABC, plays draws passively, strong hands fast (but with odd bet sizes post, i.e. in love with the minraise).
Turn is a Jack, completes the rainbow. 9 6 3 J
I bet $22, villain calls.
River Ace, 9 6 3 J A. My turn to act.
Very few hands villain can pay off a bet with. A9/J9, but only one nine is available. I don't like check/inducing, this player will simply say "I missed" and check behind in a pot this big. 2 straight draws missed, leaving him with 8 high or 5 high. I would have heard from a lower set by the turn. I can see very little way of getting any money from this player.
With that in mind, my question is what size is my river bet, and why.