$2/$5 NL, Villain has $500, I cover. Villain is a good thin value bettor, he sees me as LAG. I have Jd7d in the cutoff, folds to me, I open for $15. Villain (BTN) calls. Blinds fold.
I bet $20, villain calls. I think he can be floating me some of the time here, but mostly will show up with a jack. He could have 33-66 (probably 3 bets me with better pre). Pot $70
I bet $50, villain calls. Now I have him squarely on a jack. I think he 3 bets me with AJ and some KJ suited, so I'm thinking QJ, JT, J9, J8 mostly. Pot $170
I check to him because I know he will bet most of his range here after I bet, bet, check. My plan is to check ship. He surprises me by betting $200 into $170. Oops!