So played my first NL session since I got back from vegas. Had two really good nights sleep and felt so much better.. Now all the mistakes I made while so tired in my last three events are haunting me.. but thats for another thread..
So I buy in for 1000 and really have an up and down session for the first couple of hours. I get Aces all in pre against two shorter stack rec players and they hold up.. only to get ugly runouts and mini beats to take me down $700 at one point. Naturally I topped off while tilt-texting Jake my shitty luck (he has the patience of jobe :-) - true sign of a great friend! )
within a round or two of getting the minibeats I get a few nice hands and built my stack back up to around 1700-1800.. So I probably have a slightly losing image as most players probably have been paying attention to the hands I have lost and not the three smaller hands I won.
Vil in the hand is a player I have played with for my entire NL career. He has gotten better over the past year but still has a HUGE problem laying down very close to nutted but not nut hands. He chocks it up to a "bad beat" rather than true hand reading. He raised stacked off a few months ago on a board where I was sure he at best was chopping 559J9 where there was a decent chance the vil in that hand had quad 5s or Jacks full. for him he was thinking "I have a full house" and basically torched almost 1000 on the river by check raising when there was no chance of getting called by worse. About a month ago he shipped his whole stack to me when I flopped the nut straight and he has second nut straight.. Vil has around $1200
So with him I might take a slightly more liberal preflop hand to make the super nuts and stack him since he just wont fold.. So when he raised pre to $35 I felt he likely had a big pair. He changes his raise sizing from $15 to even $40 depending on his stack and his starting hand.. but he NEVER raises this big without a premium pair. he doesnt even have AK here.. JJ+
So when I am in the sb and two others have already called I decided to take a stab with A♥ 9♥ He probably doesnt have an ace and if I flop an ace I might get one or maybe even two streets from him. Pot is $140
Flop 9♣ 9♦ 9♠ lol..we flop gin.. so here is my problem.. If he does have a big pocket and I bet he will just call down. If he has a big pocket pair and I check raise flop he might call flop and turn but I will also miss getting his stack.. furthermore if I check maybe another player calls with a smaller pair like 88 or even 77 and who knows maybe I get lucky and win a jackpot..
I check.. Vil bets tiny.. $55.. I hope for the other players to call..but they just fold.. God it sucks to be out of position but I am not sure how big his pair is yet.. So I just call.. pot is now $250
Turn 8 I check again.. I think the only way I can get stacks in is to check and go for check raise.. (thoughts?) my feelings were:
1) A player like him never going to expect me to check raise quads..
2) I can tell just how big his pair is by seeing how big he bets..
3)check raising turn is the only way to build a pot big enough where I can possibly get stacks in..
4)If I wait til the river who knows maybe he checks behind.. and that would be just the worst possible thing...
So now he bets.. $125.. I raise to $315 and he snap calls. SNAP.. so now I think he squarely has AA or KK. he is not snap calling with JJ or QQ.. he is also much more likely to have AA in this spot.. (please tell me my sizing ok? should I have raised a bit more?) pot $880 vil has about $700 left..
So a blank comes on the river another low card.. and I just decide based on my read that he is not putting me on a 9.. he doesnt like to fold full houses (zebo theorem) so I just ship.. So I am thinking his calling frequency is inelastic.. so I might as well go for gold since there inst much of a difference in calling if I bet $500 vs $700..