Last night I'm playing in a loose passive 10 handed 1/3 game. I'm in the small blind with two red 4's. 5 players limp in the field, I complete and the BB checks. We go to the flop 7 ways ($21 pot).
Flop is Ah, 8h, Jd.
I check, BB bets $15 and everyone calls around to me. Without giving it much thought, I fold. Much to my annoyance, the 4c hits on the turn. This got me to wondering if this was a rare opportunity to call the flop bet to hit a 2 outer.
When the flop is called around there is $111 in the pot and it's $15 for me to call, so I'm definitely not getting the immediate odds, but what about the implied odds? If I hit on the turn, I can get 1 big street of value from heart draws and 9T, and two streets from Ax/2pr hands.
So, considering the long shot odds of hitting on the turn, compounded with the number of river cards we have to dodge for our hand to hold up, is this a fold on the flop all day or is there a case to be made for calling?