I've been playing live 1/2 and 1/3 games in NYC since the beginning of this year. Before this I've only played in casinos a few times and a couple of home tournaments, plus a few thousand hands online which I didn't take too seriously but broke even. I'm 27 years old and earn about $57,000 per year as an architect, it's not a lot of money in NYC.
I'm looking for some advice here. In 266 hours of live play this year, here are my stats:
Cashed out in the black 19/56 (33%)
50.36 BB/hr std dev
$119.20 $/hr std dev
In June I lost $1987 at -$46/hr
I have not had consecutive winning sessions since mid April.
Is it possible to be running this bad, or am I actually awful?
I spend a lot of time studying the game through podcasts, videos, and books. I take it pretty seriously. I know I will get laughed at for saying this but I'll go ahead and say it - I have an Ivy League Master's degree. That doesn't mean I think it makes me a good poker player, but I know that when I put my mind to something I usually achieve at least mild success. I've always been good with games and numbers, and I know that I have a solid grasp of odds. I'm really just unsure of whether my play is this awful or if I'm on some kind of ridiculous cold streak.
So I started recording all of my preflop hands and some postflop action in my phone for the last 7 sessions. The common word of advice here is that these stakes are all about discipline, preflop hand selection, and position, so I've tried to take that to heart and play a really tight, almost nitty game, and play very aggressively postflop. My strategy has been to buy in for 100bb and just try to get it in good preflop or otf. With 100bb there's not much wiggle room for bet/folding. Recording my hands has helped me tighten up further and reduce some spew.
I've attached all 436 hands that I recorded in a text document here (it wouldn't let me post it in the thread because it was too long). I tried to record as much as I could but inevitably I miss some here and there. I know its hard to evaluate without knowing how the table is playing, but you can assume that these are typical weak tight low stakes games with maybe one or two solid winning TAGs at the table.
436 hands is a miniscule sample size, but here are some stats:
VPIP 20% (includes completing from the SB and limping from the BTN which I do a lot to see cheap flops)
Thanks a lot if you read any of this and especially if you took the time to look over my hands in the attached file. What should I do moving forward? Should I quit? Should I just continue playing this kind of nitty strategy? When I first started I played a very loose aggressive game over the first ~50 hours or so, and I was winning, but I think I was running pretty hot. The stats I posted here are from the last 7 sessions, but it's indicative of the last ~100 hours of play. Actually, these 7 sessions aren't even as bad as the first half of this month.
Any advice is sincerely appreciated.