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DPP #43 15-25-35.
The Clubber
Posts: 110Member
Link to the content
http://www.crushlivepoker.com/podcasts/15-25-35
So the premise of revising the 10 / 20 / 30 rules on effective stacks for pocket pairs, suited connectors, and suited aces is that the player pool is getting better at folding overpairs when facing aggression. The logic goes that since they aren't paying off when we make our hand, we need them to pay off bigger to compensate for the lower frequency.
However, can't we take the same premise - players are getting better folding big pairs - and instead draw the conclusion that we should be increasing our bluffing frequency since our expectation of fold equity is greater than it used to be?
http://www.crushlivepoker.com/podcasts/15-25-35
So the premise of revising the 10 / 20 / 30 rules on effective stacks for pocket pairs, suited connectors, and suited aces is that the player pool is getting better at folding overpairs when facing aggression. The logic goes that since they aren't paying off when we make our hand, we need them to pay off bigger to compensate for the lower frequency.
However, can't we take the same premise - players are getting better folding big pairs - and instead draw the conclusion that we should be increasing our bluffing frequency since our expectation of fold equity is greater than it used to be?
Comments
The problem is that the player pool has gotten significantly better, so you need to be a soul-crusher if you want to play loosely against Villains who are not deep-stacked. It is not simply because people fold over pairs correctly. They also do some other things better too. All those things reduce the profitability of speculative hands.
Since you mentioned that the player pool as a while is getting better and speculative hands are becoming less profitable, I am curious how you would define a proper strategy when approaching a game full of unknowns where (obviously) you cannot rely on your past history? Would you focus strictly on a TAG game plan and bet/folding and raise/folding value hands and remove the smaller sc's from your range completely? Would you worry about building an image or just let the cards do that for you as they are dealt? I realize how broad this question is...
I don't worry about building an image. If a good opportunity comes up for me to run a profitable bluff, then I will run a bluff. If a good opportunity comes up to get maximum value with a disguised speculative hand, then I will go for maximum value. There is no need for me to "create an image." Once the table starts to perceive me to have a certain image, then I just make sure to understand my perceived image, so that I can exploit my perceived image.
Should we go 25 or 35x rules for the Axs ?
Bart
I know that you dont play online NL cash game a lot but what do you think of the 15-25-35 rule for low stacke FR online game ?
The game dont play the same. for example: usually the raises are smaller preflop online so can we still applied the rule ?
Thank
With that said, Do you still think this guideline is mostly applicable live and not online because the "other factors" are way different from live to online ?
Btw, just finished to listen all the podcasts and videos that you did in the past years, I really like the way you explain stuff. I really enjoy your podcast with David Tuchman where you explain how we should not only be poker smart but street smart at the table.
Usually the skill level of players online is a lot more mathematical and greater than thei live counterparts. That couple with more aggression in the form of squeezing preflop make it very difficult to call with sc and gsc no matter how deep you are.