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Free Video: CLP Video No. 287: Home Game Bart Reviews His Splashy At $1-$3 Deep Part 2

Free Podcast: CLP Podcast No. 54: Time Warp And Turn Value
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jojacks

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jojacks
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  • deadinaditch;119876" said: As played, I think you need to call. V's line looks fishy. By checking back the turn you basically announced that you do not have an Ace opening the door for a steal. You did bet the flop so it's not entirely out of the r…
  • The virtual min-click on the flop, turn follow-up of effectively the same size, and 30-second tank on the river would probably get a call from me in game. There aren’t many logical bluffs, but what value hand would need that long to decide what to …
  • I don’t thInk this is a bluff often enough to warrant a call. Pretty much the only way that happens is if V can read your hand fairly accurately, recognizes that a hand like 99 or TT has no showdown value, and be capable of bluffing 80+ BB. The chan…
  • Something I get reminded of from time to time is that just because someone makes maniacal plays when they are short, doesn't necessarily mean they are still making a maniacal play with a normal stack. Obviously this is villain dependent, and I'm n…
  • X/F was the conclusion that I had reached after the fact and with the analysis provided by Fuzzypup I’m convinced that’s the play. Best case scenario I get called the 50% I’m ahead and raised the 50% I’m behind so AT BEST it’s neutral EV. If he ever…
  • ds2uared;15058" said: I'm not great in these multiway spots where I want to bombs away to protect my equity. But I feel like any amount I bet will only leave me with enough that I'll have to call every scare card that comes on the river. I spent …
    in $2/$5 Sizing Comment by jojacks July 17
  • This is a perfect example of a bet-fold spot. You can get called by worse, but will rarely get raised unless you're beat. Make the showdown monkeys pay to see it.
  • QuantumSurfer;118974" said:You saved up 160bb. That's not a bankroll. You weren't ready to play at the levels you're playing at. What you experienced isn't cruel, it's inevitable. I apologize for sounding harsh, but in all your hours of off-tabl…
  • The game is a bit nitty, no one is heavily invested in the pot, and the board blocks a ton of smaller flush combos. It kind of sucks, but I think something in the $65-$75 range will yield the highest EV.
  • Once we call, pot is $325 and we have $540 remaining. I could see many players shove to protect a 6 on such a draw-heavy board with two players in between who are effectively yet to act with presumably wide ranges. It's hard for me to project how V…
  • I agree with Piggy about bet-folding the turn. Plenty of hands you can still get value from, plus you can get a lot of hands to fold that can't be certain of how much equity they have. Getting a naked :h: to fold is worth a minimum of $40 in equity.
  • I think this is a check/fold on the river. I don't like a bet because under normal circumstances it's going to be really tough to get called by worse . I expect him to check back hands with any showdown value that you're ahead of, and mostly bet the…
  • You're a little deeper than I would like for a shove, but I think that's the play I like the best for the following reasons: 1. You maximize your fold equity against bigger diamond draws, which are really the hands you want to knock out 2. Unless y…
  • GlennJones;119653" said:[quote="jojacks;119643"]What is Villain's player profile? Obviously you haven't seen him play, but age, gender, ethnicity, and demeanor can all be useful in evaluating situations when we don't have much hand history to go off…
  • What is Villain's player profile? Obviously you haven't seen him play, but age, gender, ethnicity, and demeanor can all be useful in evaluating situations when we don't have much hand history to go off of.
  • I think as a general rule the best way to get max value when flopping a monster from the blinds is a bet/bet/bet line. At small stakes the absolute size of the bet is more important than the ratio of the bet size to the pot, so you can over-bet the …
  • Agree, it's time to fold. Also, just because someone is capable of one type of bluff (i.e. raising with trash to steal the dead money preflop), does not necessarily mean they are capable of riskier bluffs. In the game I play (1/3 NL $300 cap), I'v…
  • LatvianMissile;15026" said:V is a thinking player that has played with H plenty of times and is capable of bluffing. There are different levels of bluffing, but I assume you mean he is capable of making a play like this with a non-value hand. I w…
  • It is thin, but with so many pair+draw hands in his range, I think we can often get value from worse. As long as he isn't the type to make our life difficult by leading with a big bet on the river with both value and bluffs.
  • I have precisely zero experience playing 400 BB effective, and admittedly have some nit-like tendencies when others show aggression, but here's my take: My picture based on Villain description is someone who is too loose, but fairly passive unless…
    in 1/3 At Wynn Comment by jojacks June 29
  • Agree with Piggy and Cycle, you should fold pre. I assume that Villain is NEVER folding, so it makes no sense to shove flop since you have no fold equity. You can call $52 to win $181 ($57 + $52 + $72 implied). Assuming you have 12-13 outs you can…
  • V2 would still likely raise the button with AQ, KK, JJ, and TT, right? But maybe he still has Q9, KJ, KT, and JT? I don’t think that changes a lot in terms of what we’re trying to accomplish.
  • Based on the action, you are very likely to have the best hand. AQ, KK, JJ, TT should have all raised preflop, and I would expect someone with Q9 to bet more or raise somewhere along the way. You might occasionally run into a full house of K8, J8, o…
  • With front door spades bricking out and a drunk non-believer, I might swing for the fences and put him in for $475
  • I think you would have to know your player really well in order to make this call. Even at 2/5 guys aren't making this play with AK very often, and Bart often talks about how people will play much more straight forward in 3-bet pots, probably even m…
  • Did he have less than you? If stacks are $750 effective I see you getting just over 2:1 on the river. Either way I think it's a pretty clear fold. Guys at 1/3 are just not running $500 bluffs with no equity.
  • I don't have a whole lot of experience with 200+BB stacks, but here's my take: I think you got really lucky to get his whole stack, but kudos to you for seizing the opportunity and deciding to stay. I like the small bet on the flop, recognizing …
  • Just use the link for updates. 2nd in chips with 7 remaining.
  • $108/($178+$108) = .3776, so you need about 38% equity to be profitable. If you can really rule out 2-pair and sets, it's a no-brainer, as you are roughly 50% against a flush draw and 2 overs and 44%-50% against a single-paired hand. Even against th…
  • As played, there probably isn't a way to get it in with Ax. Would you really x/r a double-paired board on the turn without a full house?